Jeff Siegel’s “What Your Need to Know”
January 1, 2022
Gulfstream Park Seventh Race – Post time: 3:05 ET
Of a Revolution is undefeated in two starts, both at Gulfstream Park, a maiden race last spring and then a first-level optional claimer off the layoff in mid-November. In his most recent victory, the Saffie Joseph, Jr.-trained colt missed the break and was pinched back to lose a few lengths, quickly made up the lost ground to be within range to the turn, swept on by on the far outside with an impressive turn of foot entering the lane and then dominated to the wire like a really nice colt. Today he’s tackling tougher in the Limehouse Stakes, but if he breaks cleanly and can secure a good early spot the son of Maclean’s Music should be capable of extending his perfect streak to three. A sharp recent team drill December 26 (5f, 1:00.1b) was visually quite pleasing and adds fuel to the fire. Listed at 4-1 on the morning line, he’s likely to provide good wagering value in the win pool and in the various exotics.
Oaklawn Park Ninth Race – Post time: 4:13 CT
This year’s edition of the Smarty Jones Stakes drew 14 entrants, so you can expect to see a mad scramble entering the clubhouse turn, with favorable early position at a premium. Dash Attack had the good fortune of drawing the rail post position, though he’ll have to leave cleanly to take full advantage of the situation. A debut maiden winner last month over this track and distance, the son of Munnings in that race was boxed in much of the way while taking plenty of dirt, but once clear entering the lane he accelerated nicely and was just finding his best stride approaching the wire before drawing clear with authority. His Beyer number (74) was quite acceptable under the circumstance, so this could be a decent colt, one that is better than his 12-1 morning line suggests. At that price he’s a gamble.
Home Brew, drawn comfortably in three post, shows rising speed figures in each outing, most recently establishing the lead and dominating throughout to register a convincing first-level allowance score. We don’t consider the Street Sense to be a need-the-lead type, so Florent Geroux has options, and if this colt continues to develop for Brad Cox, he’ll have plenty to say in the rich 3-year stakes races leading up to the spring classics.
We’ll prefer the better price on top – Dash Attack – but rolling exotic plays should find room on their ticket for Home Brew as well.