It’s Post Time by Jon White: BC Classic Showdown Ahead

The three top-ranked Thoroughbreds in the land are headed for a dramatic showdown in this year’s $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic at Del Mar on Nov. 4. No wonder racing enthusiasts are eagerly looking forward to that particular Grade I event, which will be decided at 1 1/4 miles on the dirt.

Gun Runner, Arrogate and Collected occupy the top three positions in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll.

Here is this week’s ranking of America’s leading Thoroughbreds on a 10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 basis:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

  1. 385 Gun Runner (34)
  2. 336 Arrogate (4)
  3. 241 Collected
  4. 239 Lady Eli
  5. 234 Stellar Wind
  6. 111 Drefong
  7. 107 Mor Spirit
  8.  96 West Coast (1)
  9.  84 Forever Unbridled
  10. 65 Abel Tasman

Also receiving votes: Songbird (62 points), Lady Aurelia (41), Shaman Ghost (25), Keen Ice (16), Oscar Performance (15), Vale Dori (14) World Approval (13), Practical Joke (9), Elate (8), Whitmore (8), Cupid (8), Mind Your Biscuits (7), Unique Bella (4), Sadler’s Joy (4), Tapwrit (3), Neolithic (3), Sharp Azteca (2), Girvin (1), Voodoo Song (1), Rally Cry (1), Beach Patrol (1), Accelerate (1).

Remarkably, Hall of Famer Bob Baffert trains six of the Top 10 horses: Arrogate, Collected, Drefong, Mor Spirit, West Coast and Abel Tasman.

Gun Runner won the Grade III Razorback Handicap in February before finishing second to Arrogate in the Group I Dubai World Cup in March. Since his loss in Dubai, Gun Runner has won the Grade I Stephen Foster Handicap by seven lengths, Grade I Whitney Stakes by 5 1/4 lengths and Grade I Woodward Stakes by 10 1/4 lengths for Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen.

Arrogate won the Grade I Pegasus World Cup in January and Group I Dubai World Cup in March, then lost his next two races. He finished a well-beaten fourth in the Grade II San Diego Handicap and second in the Grade I Pacific Classic.

Collected is four for four this year. He won both the Santana Mile and Grade II Californian in April, the Grade III Precisionist Stakes in June and Grade I Pacific Classic in August.

LATEST WYNN RACE BOOK ODDS

On July 14, Arrogate was the even-money favorite to win the BC Classic in the future book at the Wynn Race Book in Las Vegas. Gun Runner was 7-1.

Two months later, Gun Runner has become the 13-10 favorite (slightly higher odds than 6-5), with Arrogate next at 11-5 (slightly higher than 2-1).

Here are the Wynn’s odds to win the BC Classic as of Sept. 13:

13-10 Gun Runner

11-5   Arrogate

3-1     Collected

9-1     West Coast

10-1   Keen Ice

15-1   Gunnevera

16-1   Shaman Ghost

20-1   Irap

25-1   Accelerate

25-1   Battle of Midway

25-1   Classic Empire

25-1   Hoppertunity

30-1   Cupid

30-1   Good Samaritan

35-1   Cloud Computing

35-1   Irish War Cry

35-1   Rally Cry

40-1   Churchill

40-1   Curlin Road

40-1   Destin

40-1   Giuseppe the Great

40-1   Mubtaahij

50-1   Girvin

50-1   Midnight Storm

50-1   Epicharis

60-1   Breaking Lucky

60-1   Highland Reel

60-1   Pavel

60-1   Thunder Snow

65-1   War Story

75-1   American Freedom

75-1   Donworth

75-1   Madefromlucky

75-1   War Decree

85-1   Imperative

85-1   Lancaster Bomber

85-1   McCraken

85-1   Neolithic

85-1   Tu Brutus

85-1   Lookin At Lee

85-1   Timeline

100-1 Colonelsdarktemper

100-1 Battalion Runner

100-1 Gormley

100-1 Long River

100-1 Special Fighter

100-1 Uncontested

125-1 Patch

125-1 Senior Investment

150-1 Guest Suite

These are the horses whose odds have dropped from July 15:

Gun Runner (13-10 from 7-1)

Collected (3-1 from 20-1)

West Coast (9-1 from 40-1)

Keen Ice (10-1 from 20-1)

Gunnevera (15-1 from 85-1)

Irap (20-1 from 75-1)

Accelerate (25-1 from 60-1)

Battle of Midway (25-1 from 75-1)

Cupid (30-1 from 40-1)

Irish War Cry (35-1 from 45-1)

Churchill (40-1 from 60-1)

War Story (65-1 from 75-1)

These are the horses whose odds have risen from July 15:

Arrogate (11-5 from 1-1)

Shaman Ghost (16-1 from 8-1)

Classic Empire (25-1 from 20-1)

Cloud Computing (35-1 from 18-1)

Donworth (75-1 from 65-1)

McCraken (85-1 from 30-1)

Neolithic (85-1 from 50-1)

Tu Brutus (85-1 from 45-1)

Lookin At Lee (85-1 from 75-1)

Timeline (85-1 from 75-1)

Gormley (100-1 from 85-1)

Patch (125-1 from 100-1)

Senior Investment (125-1 from 50-1)

These are the horses whose odds are the same as on July 15:

Hoppertunity (25-1)

Mubtaahij (40-1)

Girvin (50-1)

Midnight Storm (50-1)

Epicharis (50-1)

Highland Reel (60-1)

Thunder Snow (60-1)

American Freedom (75-1)

Madefromlucky (75-1)

War Decree (75-1)

Imperative (85-1)

Lancaster Bomber (85-1)

Battalion Runner (100-1)

Long River (100-1)

Special Fighter (100-1)

Uncontested (100-1)

Guest Suite (150-1)

These are the horses not listed on July 14 (with their Sept. 13 odds in parenthesis):

Good Samaritan (30-1)

Rally Cry (35-1)

Curlin Road (40-1)

Destin (50-1)

Giuseppe the Great (40-1)

Breaking Lucky (60-1)

Pavel (60-1)

Colonelsdarktemper (100-1)

It’s Post Time by Jon White: BC Classic Showdown Ahead

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