Jeff Siegel’s Blog: Wagering Strategies (SA, GP) for Feb. 24, 2017

The selections contained within are geared to rolling exotic players.  The basic strategy is to isolate those horses that should be included in rolling daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and pick-6.

It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the exact rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis.  Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, the reader is encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.

​Unless otherwise noted, all horses listed in the analysis should be used in rolling exotic play.   Usually there will no more than three horses listed; occasionally, Jeff will go 4-deep in his rolling exotic play and on a very rare occasion he will recommend a “buy the race” strategy.

The selections are available every racing day after 9 a.m. (PST). For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

Top selection indicated in bold-face.  

A=Highest degree of confidence.

B=Solid Play.

C=Least preferred, or pass.

X=likely winner but odds will be too short to play.


Friday, February 24, 2017


RACE 1: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: B-

Use: 1-Ebadan; 2-Awesome Return; 5-Buymeabond

The opener is a grass grab bag for $40,000 claiming older milers. Ebadan, away since mid-December and returning to turf, has trained well for his comeback, lands the rail, has won over this course in the past and can fire fresh. At this level the Neil Drysdale-trained gelding is a major player. Awesome Return, rested since last summer, makes his comeback for new trainer Peter Eurton, gets top rider Flavien Prat, and has shown spark in recent a.m. drills. He could be a better type this time around and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. Buymeabond exits a hot race and should appreciate this drop in class. He’s back with Tyler Baze, who has won on him twice recently, and the Peter Miller-trained veteran should be rolling in the final furlong. Let’s use all three in our rolling exotics while slightly preferring Ebadan on top.

​​RACE 2: Post 1:30 PT. Grade: C+

Use: 1-Scathing; 2-Princess Tiznow

Restricted (nw-2) $12,500 claiming fillies and mares meet over a mile in the second race, with the main contention drawn inside. Scathing was second in a similar spot last month and probably won’t have to improve much to beat this group. She should be on or near the lead throughout with the switch to Marty Garcia. Princess Tiznow crushed a maiden claiming field at Los Alamitos in December but hasn’t been seen since, and this drop in claiming value gives reason to believe she’s being dangled by connections who many not mind losing her. However, she’s a fit on speed figures, seems to be training well enough, and is worth including in rolling exotic play.


​​RACE 3: Post 2:00 PT. Grade: C+

Use: 3-Sheswildnfree; 6-Autumn Twilight

Autumn Twilight won for this price two races back, was overmatched vs. open $25,000 claimers last month, and today’s drops for the money run while facing restricted (nw-3) company. In a race without much early speed, she figures to be on or near the lead throughout. Sheswildnfree won a $12,500 nw-2 event about a month ago, retains Prat, and will be dangerous right back in a below par field for the level. Let’s try to get by using just these two.

​​​RACE 4: Post: 2:30 PT. Grade:  B-

Use: 2-Summertimemischief; 3-Righteous Dixie

Bottom-rung maiden claiming fillies and mares sprint seven furlongs in the fourth race; let’s use two and hope that’s enough. Righteous Dixie has improving speed figures, adds blinkers, and appears to have the proper style for this distance. The daughter of Trappe Shot seems the solid choice. Summertimemischief is worth using on a few tickets as well; the daughter of Into Mischief is re-equipped with blinkers, drops to her lowest level ever, and has back numbers that are good enough to win.


​​RACE 5: Post 3:00 PT. Grade: B+

Single: 9-Radiantly

Radiantly makes her U.S. debut for a barn that excels with European imports and this English-bred filly gets Lasix and removes blinkers while exiting a series of much tougher group stakes races overseas. In this entry-level allowance affair, she appears to have a considerable class edge and the work tab should have her fit enough for a major effort. At 7/2 on the morning line she’s a straight play and rolling exotic single.


​​​RACE 6: Post 3:30 PT. Grade: C+

Use: 1-Cammy’s Music; 2-Not Chopped Liver; 9-Sleepin N Cheatin

Sleepin N Cheatin, away since December but returning in a modest maiden claimer, appears capable of outrunning this group from start to finish. The son of Sea of Secrets has plenty of zip, and if he can establish control early he could get very brave late. A strong, healthy work tab indicates he’s fit and ready for a barn that has excellent stats with layoff runners. Not Chopped Liver is another dangerous class dropper, and with the addition of blinkers could easily be better than shown. Cammy’s Music has some early speed, may have needed his last, and should be in the first flight early on. He’s worth using on a ticket or two.

​​RACE 7: Post 4:00 PT.  Grade: B+

Single: 8-Pied N True

Based on the projected race flow (very fast early) of this abbreviated sprint for fillies and mares, Pied N True looks to have ideal conditions for a major effort. The lightly-raced daughter of Benchmark has the route-to-sprint angle we like in addition to returning to the main track, certainly her preferred surface. She’s a prototype late-running sprinter in a field loaded with speed, so we’re expecting her to produce the last run. Let’s make her a straight play and rolling exotic single and hope to get close to her morning line of 5-1.


​​​​​RACE 8: Post 4:30 PT.  Grade:  B-

Use: 2-Scandal; 7-Lori’s Attitude; 9-Shezroxiie

The nightcap is a maiden special weight turf sprint for older fillies and mares that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Scandal, away since the summer of 2015, has trained smartly for her comeback and should fire a big shot off the bench for trainer Richard Mandella. She looks live under Prat and will be rolling in the final furlong. Lori’s Attitude, a solid runner-up over this course and distance in a similar straight maiden affair last month, is strictly the one to beat and should be on or near the lead throughout. The concern, though, is that she doesn’t often find much under pressure in the final furlong. Shezroxiie, third in both of her career starts, has plenty of room for improvement and ran well down the hill in her debut last summer. Her work tab is brief, but if she’s fit enough she’ll be dangerous.



Friday, February 24, 2017


​RACE 1: Post 12:35 ET. Grade: B

Use: 5-Summer Whites; 6-Pomera

​​RACE 2: Post 1:04 ET. Grade: B-

Use: 2-Padilla; 5-Mach My Day; 6-He’s Cotton


RACE 3: Post 1:33 ET. Grade: B

Use: 5-I’m Thirsty; 6-Poopsie Doopsie


​​​RACE 4: Post: 2:02 ET. Grade: B-

Use: 2-Break Away; 7-Voila La Victoire


​RACE 5: Post 2:32 ET. Grade: B

Use: 1-Crowning Affair; 4-Pawleys Express

​​​RACE 6: Post 3:02 ET. Grade: B-

Use: 2-Leonardo Da Vinci; 9-Zandar

​​RACE 7: Post 3:32 ET.  Grade: C+

Use: 5-Vencedor; 7-Chatiment; 8-Crackin Jon

​​​RACE 8: Post 4:02 ET.  Grade:  B

Use: 3-Scuba Sue; 8-Crazy About Jazz

RACE 9: Post 4:32 ET.  Grade: B-

Use: 2-Southern Gem; 9-Josdesanimaux; 10-Mississippi Delta

RACE 10: Post: 5:02 ET.  Grade: B+

Use: 3-Shaan; 7-Meadow Rose


RACE 11: Post: 5:32 ET.  Grade: C+

Use: 4-Castor; 7-Magician’s Vanity; 12-Lillie’s Answer


Jeff Siegel’s Blog: Wagering Strategies (SA, GP) for Feb. 24, 2017

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