Jeff Siegel’s Blog: “What You Need to Know – Santa Anita – March 16, 2024

Jeff Siegel’s 1/ST Glance: Santa Anita – Saturday, March 16, 2024

(Updated at 11:00 a.m. following late scratches)

 

RACE 1

2-FORTY NINER GOLD
Degree of confidence: C+

• Good debut speed before weakening when third facing similar.
• Has a right to be fitter and stronger in his second career outing.
• Barn has solid stats with the second time starter angle.

Others to consider: 1-Billbernjoejohnick; 5-Antibes.

 

RACE 2

1-SWEET MILLIE
Degree of confidence: B

• Returned off a long layoff to crush soft maidens up north.
• Moving way up in class but catches a very modest group.
• Fits on speed figures and has more upside than the others.

Others to consider: none.

 

RACE 3

4-LORD BULLINGDON
Degree of confidence: B+

• Won the Eddie Logan Stakes smartly over course and distance.
• Freshened since late December, shows solid recent workouts.
• Lack of pace may reduce race to a quarter mile dash for home.

Others to consider: 5-Island Cruiser.

 

RACE 4

1-DISPOSITION
Degree of confidence: B+

• Sold for $190,000 at the 2023 OBS April Sale (breezed in :21 1/5).
• Has looked the part in local drills leading up to her racing debut.
• Barn has solid stats with first-timers; must leave well from rail.

Others to consider: 2-Show Card.

 

RACE 5

8-CAN’T SLEEP
Degree of confidence: B-

• No lead change but was a stylish debut winner over local lawn.
• Overcame a slow start and a wide trip to score with authority.
• Catches a field with suspect front runners, can tag the leaders.

Others to consider: 3-Quick Kate; 7-The Shushala.

 

RACE 6

6-MATANZAS CREEK
Degree of confidence: B+

• Exits a series of strong races and lands the cozy outside post.
• Very fast on figures and projects to enjoy a soft stalking trip.
• Beaten choice last pair but ran winning races in both starts.

Others to consider: 4-Hey Brother.

 

RACE 7

3-AMERICAN GLORY (GB)
Degree of confidence: B

• No lead change but finished well in a solid U.S. debut.
• Barn is terrific (24%) with the second off layoff angle.
• Gets an extra furlong to work with and retains U. Rispoli.

Others to consider: 2-Bartholdy; 5-Indespensible, 6-Let Seamus Go.

 

RACE 8

1-THE CHOSEN VRON
Degree of confidence: A

• California-bred Horse of the Year faces soft open company.
• Has won 10 of his last 11 starts; was fifth in the BC Sprint.
• Successful in eight of 10 career starts over the local dirt strip.

Others to consider: none.

 

RACE 9

5-CARIBBEAN KING
Degree of confidence: B+

• Confidence building maiden win over course and distance.
• Pace projects to be easy, should be the controlling speed.
• Earned a career top speed figure in his first off the claim.

Others to consider: none.

Jeff Siegel’s Blog: “What You Need to Know – Santa Anita – March 16, 2024

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