Jeff Siegel’s 1/ST Glance: Santa Anita – Sunday, March 17, 2024
Jeff Siegel’s Prime Plays Video
RACE 1
6-IRISH ROSE
Degree of confidence: B+
• Has a history of running well fresh and shows sharp comeback drills.
• Strong runner-up over this course and distance in her debut last year.
• Barn has solid stats with layoff runners; 8-1 morning line offers value.
Others to consider: 3-Strikingly; 8-Special Flower.
RACE 2
3-PAT’S PADDOCK PICK
Degree of confidence: B
• Recent second at this level in a fast race; catches an easier field today.
• Retains top jockey Juan Hernandez, projects to be on or near the lead.
• Two easy breezes since raced and has room for another forward move.
Others to consider: 2-Thales; 1-American Cat.
RACE 3
1-CATMANSUE
Degree of confidence: B
• Was green (lugged in) when nosed out facing similar last month.
• Good rail draw ensures a ground-saving trip, can step forward.
• Likes to settle early and accelerate late; H. Berrios stays aboard.
Others to consider: 4-Two By Four; 5-Beer Money.
RACE 4
6-GAVEA
Degree of confidence: B+
• Shows the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch out angle, theft on agenda.
• First time gelding after flashing speed, then fading, facing straight maidens.
• Projects to easily clear this field without undue pressure and keep on going.
Others to consider: 1-Ringtone.
RACE 5
1-ZOFARELLI (IRE)
Degree of confidence: C+
• Back sprinting after flattening out over a mile at this level last month,
• Was a clever winner over this course and distance two races back.
• Facing more early speed today but can be effective from a stalking spot.
Others to consider: 6-Mas Rapido; 7-Escape Route.
RACE 6
5-BIT’S TIGER MAGIC
Degree of confidence: B+
• Bred to win early (Smiling Tiger) and looks live in a moderate affair.
• Half mile gate breeze last Monday (:47 1/5) really caught the eye.
• Known element lacks early speed, so she could be long gone early.
Others to consider: 2-Raising Silver; 6-Roberta’s Love.
RACE 7
4-CHANCERY WAY
Degree of confidence: B
• Lost a heartbreaker over this course and distance in state-bred stakes.
• Knows where the wire is; shows seven victories from 13 career starts.
• Most effective when able to control a race from beginning to end.
Others to consider: 3-Stay and Scam.
RACE 8
2-THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE)
Degree of confidence: C+
• Stretched out after a series of sprints and dominated gate to wire.
• Earned by far a career top speed figure; wheeled back in seven days.
• Hooking other speed today (Departure); will have to work harder early.
Others to consider: 3-Departure.
RACE 9
1-CALM SEA
Degree of confidence: B+
• Gets the favorable rail and can take full advantage of the early dog leg.
• Clearly the controlling speed and based on pace projection will be tough.
• Finished fourth (beaten one length) facing similar but went too fast early.
Others to consider: 2-Maltese Falcon; 3-Order and Law.
