Musings from My Grade One Couch: Gulfstream Park Analysis for April 26th, 2020

To finish out the week at Gulfstream we have a mouthwatering 11 race card!

Race 1) Turf 5 Furlongs|3ÎClm 16000|Purse: $23k – Rails 115

#1 Earth 9-2 , Fanny Olson picks up the mount and I love that, she has a unique way of relaxing horses, which should help this gelding. Plus the fact the winner of his last race, Tiger Blood, just won again.
#3 Oak Bluffs 5-2 came out of the common race with Earth and lost all chance at the break.

Race 2) Dirt 6 Furlongs|3ÎMd 25000(25-20)|Purse: $25k

#7)El Pillo 7-2 Claimed for 25k while running a better than looked 5th last September.Love the fact that Klesaris is also part owner. Good works and attracts Ortiz.
#3)Island Song 5-2 Deserved favorite beaten just a scant length last out. Numbers wise fits, but I wonder about getting back on dirt.

Race 3)Dirt 6 Furlongs|3ÎçMd 12500(12.5-10.5)|Purse: $17k

#3)Above Par 6-1 Looking for some kind of pace in a race with none! Hoping Reyes will send hard as the only time this horse ever showed any interest was when he got the easy lead 2 back.
#6)Toonie Loonie 8-5 Trying to beat her with horse above, it may however be a herculean task!

Race 4)Turf 5 Furlongs|3ÎçClm 16000N2L|Purse: $20k-Rails at 60

#10)Belladonnia 5-1 Not really sure what happened on the 2020 debut, but that was ugly. That being said, she has come back and worked well and now takes a major drop in class. If she takes to the turf and is back to her best she will be tough.
#4)Holly Hill 4-1 Faces winners for the first time, but broke her maiden with aplomb, why can’t she win again?

Race 5)Dirt 6 Furlongs|3ÎÐMd Sp Wt 41k|Purse: $41k

#7)Starship Voyager 3-1 Moves off the rail after a professional debut, drawn comfortably here. Expect a move fwd.
#10)Smooth as glass 6-1Gets a good draw on the outside and picks up Tyler. Comes in with 3 back-to-back gate works, which can mean she’s either super ready or super slow out of the gate PRICE!
#2)Seattle Bay 15-1 Going to use somewhere, intrigued by the bullet work out the gate at the historically deep GPW. LONGSHOT.

Race 6)Turf 1 Mile|3ÎÐOC 20k/N1X|Purse: $41k- Rails 115

#7)Azrael 7-2 Huge race in last off a layoff since last July. Won in hand and has been given 4 weeks to recover, with the rails at 115, his speed from the outside with Saez should overpower the rest of these.

Race 7) Dirt 6 Furlongs|3YOClm 30000(30-25)

#3)Captured by Fate 10-1 First time facing winners, numbers fit and should be put in a good spot by win rider.
#1)Beyond Gone 2-1 May be just that, deserved favorite will likely be bet like it.

Race 8)Dirt 7 Furlongs|3YOçMd Sp Wt 45k|Purse: $45k

#8)Feeling Funny 3-1 Fresh and dangerous, ran a winning race to run 2nd going 5 panels on turf last out.By American Pharaoh I feel she may want further and actually looks better on dirt.Her last work we have on April 12 is TERRIFIC ! She’s a 1/2 to Graded stakes placed on dirt Gato de Oro.
#6)Sneer 6-5 for good reason, improving numbers and this daughter of Into Mischief looks like she has wanted to dirt all along.
#3)Paris Lights 9-2 First foal to race from a mare who won on debut. Daughter of Curlin has a long series of steady works at Payson and could get in the frame at a price!!

Race 10) Dirt 6 Furlongs|3ÎAlw 46000N1X|Purse: $46k|

#2)Hop Kat 5-2 Tremendous debut, however that was last May.If this colt is fresh and ready we may see something special here! Trainer stats are strong in this category.
#8)Tomato Bill 6-1 Son of More than Ready is G3 placed and runs well fresh! He was always an imposing looking individual even as a two year old and one can only think a year on he will have grown into that massive frame.
#6)Double Crown 9-2 Absent since a debut victory las Sept at Laurel. Privately purchased after that and put on the shelf, has also been gelded, not the thing you do with a purchase you love ? We have an old work Feb 17 in which he looks ok but given backhander at the 3. Perhaps he’s better as a gelding ???

Musings from My Grade One Couch: Gulfstream Park Analysis for April 26th, 2020

BLOGS, Zoe Cadman's Blog |