Musings from My Grade One Couch: Gulfstream Park Analysis for April 25th, 2020

Race 1) Turf 5 Furlongs|3ÎMd 12500(12.5-10.5)|Purse: $17k- Rails at 60 feet
Wide open affair with lots of ways to go. Thunder showers are in the forecast so beware.
#7 By Chance 8-1 , certainly has a look here in a race devoid of any major pace. Son of Bernadini has run well in both turf starts, can be forgiven for last after setting a blistering pace and faltering. I like the fact that Reyes rides back and won’t likely make the same mistake again . Drop from 25 down to 12,500 will help too.
#3 R Ninja J K 9-2 Hails from the high percentage Georgina Baxter barn , just one of two firsters in here and must be respected. Baxter 25% first out. 27%Debut Mcl. 29% in sprint.

Race 2) Turf 1 Mile|3YOçClm 12500(12.5-10.5)|Purse: $20k – rails 115
#3 Vicky The Best 7-2 , comes back in 2 weeks after setting the pace , has speed (rails at 115) and will settle. Cibelli a gaudy 40% with the blinkers off angle
#1 Wicked Solution 3-1 , will be running late and saving ground.

Race 3) Dirt 6 Furlongs|3ÎMd 12500(12.5-10.5)|Purse: $17k
#1 Ominous 6-1 . Talk about patiently handled, this son of Scat Daddy is now 5 years old , gets the one hole and an above average set off works for the level.
# 10 Lanse Mitan 9-5 , obvious choice just 2nd for 25k and attracts Saez.
#4 Mammoth 8-1 another firster , but this one by good first out sire The Big Beast ….?

Race 5) Dirt 7 Furlongs|3YOMd Sp Wt 45k|Purse: $45k
#9 Chasing Anna 6-1 . By the wickedly fast Fast Anna, who hits at 16% with horses debuting. We have one work on XBTV dated Aug 9 2019 and I remember it clearly – Danny aboard inside full of run with a Turfy action PRICE .
#8. Basquiat 2-1 , will bet off the board for these connections so will use him underneath, horse he was working with here, Anaconda, has yet to run either. Hopefully Basquiat ( assumingly named for Jean- Micheal Basquiat a cultural graffiti artist in the 70/80”s ) is working better now !
#4 Fugitive 4-1 for the ever dangerous Mike Maker Barn supports the best numbers of all . DANGEROUS

Race 6) Turf 5 Furlongs|3ÎçOC 25k/N1X|Purse: $46k
Rails at 115
Should this race come off the Turf #1 Malibeauty will be hard to beat MTO .
#7 Catharsis 7-2 . Seasoned veteran mare loves GP ( 5-12) fresh and dangers and picks up Ortiz !

Race 7) Turf 5 Furlongs|3ÎçOC 25k/N1X|Purse: $46k- Rails 60
#4 Venezuelan Hug 3-1 . First off the claim by Gargan and protected. Gargan hits at 50% in this category. Should be closer to the pace with Saez .
#5 Shamrocket 9-5 – will be favored for obvious reasons plus Jock/ Trainer combo for the meet is 45%!!!!
#8 Freedom Force 6-1 , will be a PRICE PLAY . SON OF AP stretches out for the first time on turf.

Race 8) Dirt 1Â Miles|4ÎOC 50k/N2X|Purse: $47k
#6 Supreme Aura 8-1 Hard knocking gelding always puts his best foot forward, claimed for 40k and moves up one notch . Love the fact the Bravo ( who rode him to a career high 88 Beyer ) rides .Fresh and sharp !
#8 Legit 5-2  Can be forgiven for needing his last – son of Curlin excels round 2 turns .

Race 9) Dirt 1Â Miles|3YOUnbridledB75k|Purse: $75
#3 Dr Post- looked like the real deal winning last month . If he can run around 2 turns I see no reason for him not to win . Being a son of Quality Road that should not be a problem.
#2 Americanas 6-1- Mark Hennig had two for this race (Sonneman left at home). Still on the fence if this son of War Front is better around one turn to two …but that being said his 7 furlong race was good.

Race 11) Dirt 7 Furlongs|4ÎOC 75k/C|Purse: $48k
#5 Global Campaign 6-1 Absent since a 3rd place finish in the G2 Jim Dandy . Has been working lights out , shown working here with the One Paced Scars are cool (Race 8 )and under a double handful. He runs well fresh and the son of Curlin may welcome the turn back in distance.( something you won’t hear me say often )

Musings from My Grade One Couch: Gulfstream Park Analysis for April 25th, 2020

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